Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 65.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 85.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 75.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Grant
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Grant
Suzuki
Last 8: Grant 6-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Grant
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
47.0% (1,066)
+9.5%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
49.5% (204)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
46.6% (131)
+1.9%
On power play, Grant has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Grant
Suzuki
Home
60.3% (257)
49.4% (686)
Away
49.6% (236)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Grant
Suzuki
P1
54.7%
45.6%
P2
54.0%
46.9%
P3
57.1%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Derek Grant |