Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 75.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 86.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 58.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Grant
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Grant
Suzuki
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Grant
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
5
0
Grant
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
49.4% (6,327)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
50.7% (1,338)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
43.6% (456)
+2.4%
On power play, Grant has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Grant
Suzuki
Home
54.3% (1,956)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Grant
Suzuki
P1
51.1%
48.8%
P2
51.5%
49.1%
P3
54.3%
50.2%
OT
35.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Derek Grant |