Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Grant wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 50.9% vs Roy 46.0% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 55.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 80.2%
Neutral zone
Grant 59.5%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Grant
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Grant
Roy
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
1
Grant
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
4
Grant
Roy
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (415)
41.5% (275)
+13.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
81.8% (11)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (137)
61.3% (31)
-19.7%
On power play, Roy has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Grant is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Grant shoots left. Roy is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Grant
Roy
Home
51.5% (266)
46.1% (167)
Away
50.7% (300)
43.3% (150)
By Period
Grant
Roy
P1
48.3%
46.7%
P2
52.2%
38.5%
P3
52.8%
50.5%
Final 5 min
60.1%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Derek Grant |