Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Roy 48.3% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 51.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 62.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 64.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Grant
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Grant
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Grant
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
48.3% (633)
+8.2%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
52.1% (48)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
43.7% (87)
+4.8%
On power play, Grant has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Grant
Roy
Home
60.3% (257)
50.8% (376)
Away
49.6% (236)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Grant
Roy
P1
54.7%
53.8%
P2
54.0%
43.5%
P3
57.1%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |