Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Roy 48.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Grant 53.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 79.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 68.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Grant
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Grant
Roy
Last 10: Grant 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Grant
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
6
1
Grant
Roy
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Grant
Roy
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
48.7% (3,719)
+5.0%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
49.5% (283)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
45.5% (477)
+0.5%
On power play, Grant has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Grant
Roy
Home
54.3% (1,956)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Grant
Roy
P1
51.1%
50.8%
P2
51.5%
46.3%
P3
54.3%
48.1%
OT
35.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |