Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 94.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 63.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 83.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Grant
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Grant
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
0
Grant
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
59.2% (370)
-10.1%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
40.9% (44)
+35.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
51.7% (58)
-6.4%
On power play, Grant has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Grant
Stastny
Home
49.8% (223)
57.7% (215)
Away
47.2% (197)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Grant
Stastny
P1
43.9%
57.7%
P2
49.7%
54.2%
P3
51.4%
57.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Derek Grant |