Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Stastny 56.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 91.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 72.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 51.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Grant
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Grant
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
57.5% (412)
-1.0%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
60.0% (65)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
44.4% (9)
+4.1%
On power play, Grant has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Grant
Stastny
Home
60.3% (257)
58.3% (276)
Away
49.6% (236)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Grant
Stastny
P1
54.7%
63.7%
P2
54.0%
57.3%
P3
57.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Derek Grant |