Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Johansen 53.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 72.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 85.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 61.4%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Grant
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Grant
Johansen
Last 10: Grant 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
13
Grant
Johansen
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
8
2
Grant
Johansen
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Grant
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
53.1% (11,017)
+0.6%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
56.2% (2,163)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
50.5% (978)
-4.5%
On power play, Grant has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Grant
Johansen
Home
54.3% (1,956)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Grant
Johansen
P1
51.1%
53.2%
P2
51.5%
53.9%
P3
54.3%
52.8%
OT
35.7%
58.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 3, 2017 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 3, 2017 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |