Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 87.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 69.4%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Grant
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Grant
Johansen
Last 10: Grant 1-9 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
7
Grant
Johansen
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grant
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Grant
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
49.4% (1,010)
-0.3%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
62.3% (236)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
67.2% (67)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Grant
Johansen
Home
49.8% (223)
54.7% (655)
Away
47.2% (197)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Grant
Johansen
P1
43.9%
52.2%
P2
49.7%
50.7%
P3
51.4%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |