Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Johansen 58.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 88.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 74.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 50.0%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Grant
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Grant
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Grant
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
59.8% (625)
-3.3%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
58.2% (196)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
51.9% (27)
-3.4%
On power play, Grant has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Grant
Johansen
Home
60.3% (257)
60.3% (436)
Away
49.6% (236)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Grant
Johansen
P1
54.7%
61.3%
P2
54.0%
60.4%
P3
57.1%
56.0%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Derek Grant |