Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.8%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 51.6% vs Johansen 52.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 54.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 53.6%
Neutral zone
Grant 50.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Grant
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Grant
Johansen
Last 7: Grant 3-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Grant
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
0
Grant
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Grant
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (104)
52.5% (1,002)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
49.5% (111)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Grant is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (55).
Grant shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Grant
Johansen
Home
51.2% (86)
54.7% (632)
Away
54.7% (64)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Grant
Johansen
P1
53.3%
54.3%
P2
51.8%
53.5%
P3
52.9%
50.9%
Final 5 min
73.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |