Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Aho 52.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 64.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 87.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 68.2%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Grant
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Grant
Aho
Last 5: Grant 0-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Grant
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Grant
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
51.6% (819)
-2.5%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
58.4% (173)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
46.3% (67)
-1.0%
On power play, Grant has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Grant
Aho
Home
49.8% (223)
53.9% (568)
Away
47.2% (197)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Grant
Aho
P1
43.9%
55.4%
P2
49.7%
51.2%
P3
51.4%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |