Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Aho 51.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 85.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 78.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 50.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Grant
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Grant
Aho
Last 10: Grant 2-8 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
7
Grant
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
4
Grant
Aho
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
50.1% (6,619)
+3.6%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
58.9% (1,310)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
46.3% (464)
-0.3%
On even strength, Grant has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Grant
Aho
Home
54.3% (1,956)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Grant
Aho
P1
51.1%
51.1%
P2
51.5%
52.0%
P3
54.3%
50.7%
OT
35.7%
48.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 17, 2020 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Derek Grant |