Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Crosby 52.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 86.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 81.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 55.6%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Grant
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Grant
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Grant
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Grant
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
52.5% (1,443)
+4.0%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
54.7% (369)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
55.9% (34)
-7.4%
On power play, Grant has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Grant
Crosby
Home
60.3% (257)
53.0% (931)
Away
49.6% (236)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Grant
Crosby
P1
54.7%
50.3%
P2
54.0%
55.4%
P3
57.1%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |