Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 83.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 84.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.2%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Grant
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Grant
Crosby
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
8
Grant
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
10
1
Grant
Crosby
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Grant
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
52.8% (17,990)
+0.9%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
57.4% (4,733)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
47.1% (765)
-1.1%
On power play, Grant has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Grant shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Grant
Crosby
Home
54.3% (1,956)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Grant
Crosby
P1
51.1%
53.6%
P2
51.5%
53.9%
P3
54.3%
53.3%
OT
35.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2016 | OT | 01:25 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |