Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 50.9% vs Hertl 54.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 21-15 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 50.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 84.2%
Neutral zone
Grant 66.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Grant
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
21
(36 meetings)
15
21
Grant
Hertl
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
17
Grant
Hertl
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
7
2
Grant
Hertl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
5
2
Grant
Hertl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (415)
55.7% (648)
-1.2%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
60.4% (149)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (137)
42.2% (83)
-0.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Grant is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Grant shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Home / Away
Grant
Hertl
Home
51.5% (266)
58.3% (391)
Away
50.7% (300)
52.8% (489)
By Period
Grant
Hertl
P1
48.3%
58.9%
P2
52.2%
51.5%
P3
52.8%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
76.9%
Final 5 min
60.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Derek Grant |