Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Hertl 52.3% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 72.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 68.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Grant
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Grant
Hertl
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
5
Grant
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
1
Grant
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
51.6% (1,084)
-2.5%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
61.0% (246)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
44.1% (136)
+1.2%
On power play, Grant has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Grant
Hertl
Home
49.8% (223)
55.2% (696)
Away
47.2% (197)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Grant
Hertl
P1
43.9%
55.4%
P2
49.7%
54.8%
P3
51.4%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 22, 2022 | OT | 01:39 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 22, 2022 | OT | 00:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Derek Grant |