Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Nosek 53.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 75.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 68.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 66.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Grant
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Grant
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
55.1% (557)
-6.0%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
50.0% (4)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (181)
47.7% (111)
-2.4%
On power play, Grant has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Grant shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Grant
Nosek
Home
49.8% (223)
52.3% (342)
Away
47.2% (197)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Grant
Nosek
P1
43.9%
49.0%
P2
49.7%
53.8%
P3
51.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Derek Grant |