Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Nosek 58.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 75.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 63.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 62.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Grant
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Grant
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Grant
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
59.7% (469)
-3.2%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
100.0% (4)
-34.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
56.5% (124)
-8.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Grant shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Grant
Nosek
Home
60.3% (257)
59.0% (295)
Away
49.6% (236)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Grant
Nosek
P1
54.7%
56.3%
P2
54.0%
61.9%
P3
57.1%
59.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |