Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Grant wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.2% vs Johnson 49.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 77.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 79.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 52.0%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Grant
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Grant
Johnson
Last 10: Grant 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
5
7
Grant
Johnson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
5
3
Grant
Johnson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Grant
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (2,864)
49.8% (5,396)
+3.9%
Power Play
61.7% (175)
54.6% (885)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (922)
42.3% (707)
+3.7%
On power play, Grant has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Grant shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Grant
Johnson
Home
54.3% (1,956)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
50.2% (2,005)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Grant
Johnson
P1
51.1%
50.1%
P2
51.5%
50.6%
P3
54.3%
48.4%
OT
35.7%
42.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Derek Grant |