Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 48.8% vs Johnson 53.6% (-12.2%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 74.4%
Defensive zone
Grant 76.3%
Neutral zone
Grant 52.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Grant
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (222)
61.9% (42)
-12.8%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
55.6% (9)
+20.9%
On power play, Grant has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Grant is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Grant shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Grant
Johnson
Home
49.8% (223)
52.0% (25)
Away
47.2% (197)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Grant
Johnson
P1
43.9%
72.0%
P2
49.7%
66.7%
P3
51.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%