Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Grant wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 54.3% vs Johnson 50.7% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 76.8%
Defensive zone
Grant 89.9%
Neutral zone
Grant 65.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Grant
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Grant
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
1
0
Grant
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (308)
47.4% (78)
+9.1%
Power Play
65.3% (49)
57.6% (33)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (136)
100.0% (2)
-51.5%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Grant is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Grant shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Grant
Johnson
Home
60.3% (257)
50.9% (57)
Away
49.6% (236)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Grant
Johnson
P1
54.7%
44.1%
P2
54.0%
59.4%
P3
57.1%
52.3%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Derek Grant |