Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.9%). Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Stepan 54.8% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 59.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 61.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 61.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Ryan
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
54.5% (374)
+5.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
0.0% (2)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
64.7% (68)
-21.5%
On power play, Ryan has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Ryan
Stepan
Home
56.7% (254)
54.5% (222)
Away
55.0% (258)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Ryan
Stepan
P1
56.9%
57.5%
P2
51.7%
54.7%
P3
59.2%
55.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%