Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Stepan 53.4% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 65.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 71.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Ryan
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
55.3% (358)
-4.4%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
0.0% (3)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
50.8% (61)
-5.5%
On power play, Ryan has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Ryan
Stepan
Home
53.7% (214)
57.7% (213)
Away
46.4% (220)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Ryan
Stepan
P1
45.0%
56.3%
P2
50.0%
48.9%
P3
54.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%