Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Haula 53.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 66.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 66.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Ryan
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ryan
Haula
Last 5: Ryan 1-4 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Haula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
3
Ryan
Haula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
55.0% (684)
-0.1%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
52.9% (17)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
38.8% (49)
+3.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Ryan is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Ryan shoots right. Haula is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Ryan
Haula
Home
57.7% (355)
55.2% (355)
Away
52.8% (352)
52.7% (395)
By Period
Ryan
Haula
P1
57.9%
53.2%
P2
53.2%
54.7%
P3
54.8%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |