Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Haula 52.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 51.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 52.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Ryan
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Ryan
Haula
Last 10: Ryan 4-6 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
4
Ryan
Haula
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
5
Ryan
Haula
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
6
Ryan
Haula
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
52.9% (7,683)
+3.7%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
57.5% (603)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
43.5% (791)
+4.3%
On power play, Haula has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Home / Away
Ryan
Haula
Home
56.2% (2,559)
53.4% (4,478)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
51.3% (4,599)
By Period
Ryan
Haula
P1
55.1%
53.2%
P2
54.7%
51.4%
P3
56.0%
52.7%
OT
58.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |