Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Haula 53.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 85.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 51.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 65.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Ryan
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ryan
Haula
Last 6: Ryan 4-2 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Ryan
Haula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Haula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
54.5% (881)
-3.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
68.4% (57)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
45.4% (119)
-0.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Ryan
Haula
Home
53.7% (214)
55.4% (520)
Away
46.4% (220)
53.1% (537)
By Period
Ryan
Haula
P1
45.0%
56.5%
P2
50.0%
53.3%
P3
54.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |