Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Ryan wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Kuznetsov 44.5% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 93.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 92.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 93.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Last 10: Ryan 9-1 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
6
2
Ryan
Kuznetsov
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
2
Ryan
Kuznetsov
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Kuznetsov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
42.8% (962)
+12.1%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
57.7% (71)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
75.0% (4)
-32.9%
On penalty kill, Kuznetsov has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Ryan is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Ryan shoots right. Kuznetsov is 41.5% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Home
57.7% (355)
42.6% (493)
Away
52.8% (352)
45.2% (544)
By Period
Ryan
Kuznetsov
P1
57.9%
44.0%
P2
53.2%
47.2%
P3
54.8%
40.8%
OT
100.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2016 | OT | 04:17 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |