Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Kuznetsov 45.6% (+10.7%)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 79.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 83.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Ryan
Kuznetsov
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
44.4% (613)
+16.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.8% (68)
+41.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
36.4% (66)
+9.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Kuznetsov is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Home
56.7% (201)
48.6% (370)
Away
54.8% (208)
41.4% (377)
By Period
Ryan
Kuznetsov
P1
56.7%
44.3%
P2
56.8%
49.6%
P3
53.7%
41.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%