Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Kuznetsov 47.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 84.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 74.5%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 54.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
1
Ryan
Kuznetsov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Kuznetsov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
47.7% (927)
+3.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
53.5% (71)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
39.4% (71)
+5.9%
On power play, Ryan has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Home
53.7% (214)
45.9% (534)
Away
46.4% (220)
49.2% (535)
By Period
Ryan
Kuznetsov
P1
45.0%
44.8%
P2
50.0%
52.1%
P3
54.6%
44.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |