Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Kuznetsov 44.7% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 92.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 87.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 93.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Last 8: Ryan 7-1 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Kuznetsov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
1
Ryan
Kuznetsov
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
44.4% (980)
+12.1%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
38.7% (31)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
42.9% (7)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Kuznetsov is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kuznetsov
Home
56.7% (466)
46.4% (491)
Away
56.3% (474)
42.1% (527)
By Period
Ryan
Kuznetsov
P1
55.4%
44.8%
P2
58.1%
44.6%
P3
55.8%
44.0%
OT
66.7%
23.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |