Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Chytil shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Chytil 45.0% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 70.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 96.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 86.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Ryan
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Ryan
Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Chytil
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Chytil
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Chytil
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
42.0% (283)
+18.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.7% (26)
-29.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
50.0% (2)
-6.8%
On power play, Chytil has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Chytil is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Ryan
Chytil
Home
56.7% (254)
42.8% (152)
Away
55.0% (258)
44.0% (159)
By Period
Ryan
Chytil
P1
56.9%
44.0%
P2
51.7%
44.4%
P3
59.2%
40.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |