Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Chytil shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Chytil 42.3% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 75.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 95.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 94.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Ryan
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Ryan
Chytil
Last 10: Ryan 8-2 Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Chytil
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Chytil
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Chytil
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
42.1% (2,535)
+14.5%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
42.2% (206)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
37.5% (24)
+10.3%
On even strength, Ryan has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Chytil is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (915).
Home / Away
Ryan
Chytil
Home
56.2% (2,559)
42.8% (1,337)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
41.4% (1,428)
By Period
Ryan
Chytil
P1
55.1%
40.8%
P2
54.7%
43.8%
P3
56.0%
41.4%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |