Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Compher 48.5% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 71.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 77.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Ryan
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ryan
Compher
Last 5: Ryan 2-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Compher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
3
Ryan
Compher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
47.7% (149)
+7.2%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
66.7% (3)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
41.7% (12)
+0.4%
On even strength, Ryan has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Ryan is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Ryan shoots right. Compher is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Ryan
Compher
Home
57.7% (355)
56.0% (91)
Away
52.8% (352)
37.0% (73)
By Period
Ryan
Compher
P1
57.9%
45.0%
P2
53.2%
48.2%
P3
54.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |