Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Compher 47.8% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 67.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 57.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 67.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Ryan
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Ryan
Compher
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
2
Ryan
Compher
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
5
Ryan
Compher
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Compher
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
48.7% (5,716)
+7.9%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
52.6% (682)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
41.9% (1,421)
+5.9%
On even strength, Ryan has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Compher is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,193).
Home / Away
Ryan
Compher
Home
56.2% (2,559)
49.1% (3,894)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
46.6% (3,925)
By Period
Ryan
Compher
P1
55.1%
49.1%
P2
54.7%
47.3%
P3
56.0%
47.4%
OT
58.3%
40.2%
Final 5 min
52.5%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 10:41 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |