Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Compher 48.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 58.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 63.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Ryan
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Ryan
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
49.3% (1,149)
+1.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
53.9% (204)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
43.6% (312)
+1.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Compher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Ryan
Compher
Home
53.7% (214)
50.7% (872)
Away
46.4% (220)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Ryan
Compher
P1
45.0%
49.9%
P2
50.0%
47.9%
P3
54.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |