Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Miller 53.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 64.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 67.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Ryan
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ryan
Miller
Last 5: Ryan 3-2 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
2
Ryan
Miller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Miller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
55.5% (933)
+4.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.6% (73)
-33.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
45.8% (227)
-2.6%
On power play, Miller has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Ryan
Miller
Home
56.7% (254)
53.5% (578)
Away
55.0% (258)
54.7% (655)
By Period
Ryan
Miller
P1
56.9%
58.3%
P2
51.7%
53.5%
P3
59.2%
50.1%
OT
0.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |