Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Miller 57.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 78.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 60.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 52.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Ryan
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
58.2% (823)
+3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.2% (165)
+41.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
58.9% (90)
-7.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Ryan
Miller
Home
64.2% (137)
59.1% (558)
Away
55.8% (113)
57.3% (520)
By Period
Ryan
Miller
P1
58.9%
60.7%
P2
62.8%
57.5%
P3
59.3%
56.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |