Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Studnicka shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Studnicka 43.9% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 52.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 83.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 77.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Ryan
Studnicka
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ryan
Studnicka
Last 7: Ryan 4-3 Studnicka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Studnicka
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Studnicka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Studnicka
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
39.1% (138)
+21.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
58.3% (12)
-12.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Studnicka shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Studnicka is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Ryan
Studnicka
Home
56.7% (201)
46.2% (78)
Away
54.8% (208)
33.3% (75)
By Period
Ryan
Studnicka
P1
56.7%
47.9%
P2
56.8%
29.1%
P3
53.7%
44.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Studnicka
40.0%▬
39.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Jack Studnicka |