Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Studnicka shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Studnicka 45.7% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 76.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 82.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 87.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Ryan
Studnicka
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Ryan
Studnicka
Last 8: Ryan 5-3 Studnicka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Studnicka
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Studnicka
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Studnicka
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
44.3% (557)
+12.3%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
18.2% (11)
+35.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
61.5% (39)
-13.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Studnicka shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Studnicka is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Ryan
Studnicka
Home
56.2% (2,559)
47.7% (279)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
42.7% (328)
By Period
Ryan
Studnicka
P1
55.1%
41.6%
P2
54.7%
45.3%
P3
56.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Studnicka
40.0%▬
39.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |