Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Spezza 52.4% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Spezza 76.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 58.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Ryan
Spezza
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
53.7% (451)
+6.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
54.3% (92)
-25.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
38.2% (34)
+5.0%
On power play, Spezza has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Ryan
Spezza
Home
56.7% (254)
55.0% (282)
Away
55.0% (258)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Ryan
Spezza
P1
56.9%
53.1%
P2
51.7%
53.2%
P3
59.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%