Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Toews 58.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 80.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 52.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 61.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Ryan
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
58.0% (901)
+2.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
69.5% (226)
-40.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
51.7% (209)
-8.5%
On power play, Toews has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Ryan
Toews
Home
56.7% (254)
59.3% (637)
Away
55.0% (258)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Ryan
Toews
P1
56.9%
61.5%
P2
51.7%
55.2%
P3
59.2%
60.0%
OT
0.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |