Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Toews 61.9% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 88.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 51.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 72.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Ryan
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Ryan
Toews
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
5
Ryan
Toews
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
1
Ryan
Toews
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
61.1% (650)
-10.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
71.9% (192)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
59.6% (99)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Ryan shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Ryan
Toews
Home
53.7% (214)
64.8% (560)
Away
46.4% (220)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Ryan
Toews
P1
45.0%
62.3%
P2
50.0%
63.9%
P3
54.6%
62.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |