Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Eller 50.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 62.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Ryan
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
23
(40 meetings)
17
23
Ryan
Eller
Last 10: Ryan 1-9 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
8
Ryan
Eller
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
5
9
Ryan
Eller
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Ryan
Eller
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
51.1% (10,296)
+5.5%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
52.8% (621)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
46.7% (1,751)
+1.1%
On even strength, Ryan has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Ryan
Eller
Home
56.2% (2,559)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Ryan
Eller
P1
55.1%
51.2%
P2
54.7%
50.1%
P3
56.0%
50.2%
OT
58.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |