Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Eller 49.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 59.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 55.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Ryan
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ryan
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Ryan
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
51.1% (786)
+9.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
45.0% (80)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
43.6% (165)
-0.4%
On power play, Eller has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Ryan
Eller
Home
56.7% (254)
51.2% (510)
Away
55.0% (258)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Ryan
Eller
P1
56.9%
50.7%
P2
51.7%
49.0%
P3
59.2%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |