Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Eller 51.9% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 56.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 50.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Ryan
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ryan
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Ryan
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
52.8% (650)
+8.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
69.2% (13)
+30.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
45.5% (88)
+6.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Ryan
Eller
Home
64.2% (137)
52.6% (340)
Away
55.8% (113)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Ryan
Eller
P1
58.9%
52.4%
P2
62.8%
54.1%
P3
59.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |