Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 25-15 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 63.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 94.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 88.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Ryan
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
15
(40 meetings)
25
15
Ryan
Scheifele
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
9
Ryan
Scheifele
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
10
4
Ryan
Scheifele
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
11
2
Ryan
Scheifele
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
46.3% (12,036)
+10.3%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
50.2% (2,563)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
41.6% (598)
+6.2%
On even strength, Ryan has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Home / Away
Ryan
Scheifele
Home
56.2% (2,559)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Ryan
Scheifele
P1
55.1%
48.2%
P2
54.7%
45.6%
P3
56.0%
46.8%
OT
58.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
52.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 18:46 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:32 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |