Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 94.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 81.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 94.3%
94.3%
5.7%
Ryan
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Ryan
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
48.1% (1,045)
+12.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
48.6% (181)
+51.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
44.4% (27)
+1.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Ryan
Scheifele
Home
56.7% (201)
52.7% (630)
Away
54.8% (208)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Ryan
Scheifele
P1
56.7%
50.3%
P2
56.8%
46.8%
P3
53.7%
47.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |