Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Ryan wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Scheifele 46.5% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 76.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 96.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 94.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 93.4%
93.4%
6.6%
Ryan
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
3
(17 meetings)
14
3
Ryan
Scheifele
Last 10: Ryan 8-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
7
1
Ryan
Scheifele
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
6
1
Ryan
Scheifele
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
46.0% (1,277)
+13.1%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
50.4% (339)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
37.5% (120)
+20.4%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Ryan is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Ryan shoots right. Scheifele is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Ryan
Scheifele
Home
57.0% (398)
49.0% (836)
Away
59.5% (358)
43.7% (900)
By Period
Ryan
Scheifele
P1
56.2%
46.4%
P2
56.9%
46.0%
P3
61.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:26 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |