Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.5%). Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 61.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 65.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Ryan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ryan
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Ryan
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
50.1% (1,051)
+0.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.3% (120)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
41.9% (227)
+3.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zibanejad
Home
53.7% (214)
49.0% (681)
Away
46.4% (220)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Ryan
Zibanejad
P1
45.0%
49.9%
P2
50.0%
47.6%
P3
54.6%
51.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |